Loyola (MD) 
W-L: (12- 8) PR = 89.5334
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
211 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 8-14
214 A Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 21-11
217 H Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 13-17
221 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 14-10
224 A Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 7-15
228 A Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 10- 8
304 A Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 9- 8
314 A Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 10-18
318 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 15- 7
321 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 13- 8
325 A American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 16- 5
328 H Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 19-14
401 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 16- 7
404 H Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 8-11
411 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 18-11
418 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 9-14
423 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 15- 9
426 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 13- 7
430 N Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 11-13
508 N Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 6- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A Johns Hopkins 8-14 -6 -6 0.06
214 A Lehigh 21-11 10 8 + 2.20
217 H Florida 13-17 -4 -3 -1.48
221 H Princeton 14-10 4 -2 ++ 5.73
224 A Syracuse 7-15 -8 -5 - -3.08
228 A Penn 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.97
304 A Georgetown 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.79
314 A Army 10-18 -8 -3 -- -4.71
318 H Towson 15- 7 8 7 1.20
321 H Boston University 13- 8 5 6 -1.36
325 A American 16- 5 11 9 1.67
328 H Navy 19-14 5 -2 +++ 7.13
401 A Lafayette 16- 7 9 9 -0.07
404 H Boston College 8-11 -3 -2 -1.17
411 H Colgate 18-11 7 10 - -2.56
418 A Holy Cross 9-14 -5 5 --- -9.55
423 H Bucknell 15- 9 6 7 -0.88
426 H Boston University 13- 7 6 6 -0.36
430 N Army 11-13 -2 -2 -0.08
508 N Syracuse 6- 8 -2 -4 1.55
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 A Holy Cross 9-14 -5 5 --- -9.55
314 A Army 10-18 -8 -3 -- -4.71
224 A Syracuse 7-15 -8 -5 - -3.08
411 H Colgate 18-11 7 10 - -2.56
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
328 H Navy 19-14 5 -2 +++ 7.13
221 H Princeton 14-10 4 -2 ++ 5.73
214 A Lehigh 21-11 10 8 + 2.20
228 A Penn 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.97
304 A Georgetown 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.79
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 8-14 -5.68 34.49 1.37 0.87 -1.87
3 A Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 21-11 -19.54 20.63 1.37 0.87 38.11
3 H Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 13-17 -6.48 33.69 -1.37 0.87 -3.40
3 H Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 14-10 -7.27 32.90 -1.37 0.87 54.63
3 A Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 7-15 -6.81 33.36 1.37 0.87 -2.36
3 A Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 10- 8 -10.76 29.40 1.37 0.87 53.31
3 A Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 9- 8 -9.94 30.23 1.37 0.87 54.73
3 A Army (15- 5, 91.5) 10-18 -8.45 31.72 1.37 0.87 -3.07
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 15- 7 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 0.87 39.85
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 13- 8 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 0.87 40.61
3 A American ( 4-12, 78.8) 16- 5 -21.06 19.11 1.37 0.87 35.47
3 H Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 19-14 -6.87 33.29 -1.37 0.87 55.31
3 A Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 16- 7 -20.80 19.36 1.37 0.87 35.91
3 H Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 8-11 -7.17 33.00 -1.37 0.87 -3.70
3 H Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 18-11 -18.56 21.61 -1.37 0.87 35.07
3 A Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 9-14 -16.29 23.88 1.37 0.87 -6.46
3 H Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 15- 9 -15.88 24.29 -1.37 0.87 39.71
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 13- 7 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 0.87 40.61
3 N Army (15- 5, 91.5) 11-13 -8.45 31.72 -0.00 0.87 -3.66
3 N Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 6- 8 -6.81 33.36 -0.00 0.87 -2.95
------
495.85
|
winning pts = 523.3039 losing points = -27.4569
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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